E-Learning Outcomes of Engineering College Students Prediction Model Based on Machine Learning Technique
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.53797/icccmjssh.v3i5.12.2024Keywords:
e-learning, prediction model, decision tree and random forest, machine learningAbstract
This study employs examined machine learning techniques to predict e-learning outcomes for engineering college students. Specifically, it focuses on the application of Decision Tree and Random Forest models to predict student performance metrics such as dropout rates and final grades. Utilizing a comprehensive dataset compiled from various sources, including student demographics, academic histories, course interactions, and assessment scores, the study aims to identify patterns and key predictors of academic success in an online learning environment. The models are trained and evaluated using a robust dataset, with performance metrics such as accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score serving as benchmarks for model effectiveness. The Decision Tree model provides an intuitive understanding of the data by illustrating the decision paths based on feature importance, while the Random Forest model enhances prediction accuracy through ensemble learning, effectively managing class imbalances and complex data structures. Findings from this study reveal significant insights into factors influencing student performance, offering potential strategies for educational interventions. The research highlights the capability of machine learning models to not only forecast educational outcomes with considerable accuracy but also to empower educational institutions with data-driven tools for enhancing student engagement and educational planning. The predictive models developed and tested in this study demonstrate a promising approach to addressing challenges in e-learning systems, ultimately aiming to improve the educational achievements of engineering students in an online setting.
Downloads
References
Abba, B. & Roko, A., Bui, A., Saidu, I. & Ewalefoh, J. (2021). Prediction of student's performance using selected classification methods: A Data mining Approach. International Journal of Computer Science and Network, 8(3), 276-284. Retrieved from https://www.researchgate.net/publication/354162712_Prediction_of_Student's_performance_using_selected_classification_methods_A_Data_mining_Approach
Abdullah, M., Al-Ayyoub, M., Shatnawi, F., Rawashdeh, S. & Abbott, R. (2023). Predicting students’ academic performance using e-learning logs. IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence, 12(2), 831-839. DOI: 10.11591/ijai.v12.i2.pp831-839.
Abumandour, E.-S. T. (2021). Applying e-learning system for engineering education – challenges and obstacles. Journal of Research in Innovative Teaching & Learning, 15(2), 2397–7604. DOI:10.1108/jrit-06-2021-0048.
Afzal, A., Khan, S., Daud, S., Ahmed, Z. & Butt, A. (2023). Addressing the digital divide: access and use of technology in education. Journal Of Social Sciences Review, 3(2), 883-895 3. 883-895. DOI: 10.54183/jssr.v3i2.326.
Ahmad, R., Mehmood, S. T. & Ijaz S. (2023). Digital literacy competencies: A study of distance learners of higher education regulatory authority Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. Pakistan Journal of Distance & Online Learning, 9(1), 82-96. Retrieved from https://files.eric.ed.gov/fulltext/EJ1401028.pdf.
Ahmad Mahdzir, A. A., Mohd Yusof, N. F., Helmi, S. A., Pratami, D. & Atya N. S. (2024). Impact of online learning on engineering students’ learning motivation in design classes. Journal of Advanced Research in Applied Sciences and Engineering Technology, 37(1), 151-161. DOI: 10.37934/araset.37.1.151161
Aladib, B. A., Wicaksono, P. A. & Susanto, N. (2024). Engineering student satisfaction and loyalty: The E-learning effect. World Journal of Advanced Research and Reviews, 22(01), 1297–1306. DOI: 10.30574/wjarr.2024.22.1.1218
Alazemi, N.F.S.A. (2022). The impact of digital learning resources on developing the educational process for faculty members at the PAAET. Amazonia Investiga, 11(59), 54-63. DOI: 10.34069/AI/2022.59.11.5
Alnagrat, A., Ismail, R.C. & Syed Zulkarnain, S. I. & Valarmathie, G. (2022). The impact of digitalisation strategy in higher education: Technologies and new opportunities. International Journal of Business and Technopreneurship, 12(1), 79-94. Retrieved from https://www.researchgate.net/publication/361588270 _ The_Impact_of_Digitalisation_Strategy_in_Higher_Education_Technologies_and_New_Opportunities
Alsousi, A. & Zulkifli, Z. (2022). Factors influencing effectiveness of e-learning systems among universities during the covid-19 pandemic: A systematic literature review. Journal of Education and Social Sciences, 21(1), 22-31. Retrieved from https://www.jesoc.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/08/JESOC21_502.pdf
Amhag, L., Hellstrom, L., & Stigmar, M. (2019). Teacher educators’ use of digital tools and needs for digital competence in higher education. Journal of Digital Learning in Teacher Education, 35(4), 203–220. https://doi.org/10.1080/21532974.2019.1646169
Anja, M., Vigdis, V., Stale, E., Christian, S. & Sehoya, C. (2023). Cooperative learning goes online: teaching and learning intervention in a digital environment impacts psychosocial outcomes in biology students. International Journal of Educational Research, 117, 1-17. DOI: 10.1016/j.ijer.2022.102114.
Arifuzzaman, M., Hasan, M., Toma, T., Hassan, S. & Paul, A. (2023). An advanced decision tree-based deep neural network in nonlinear data classification. Technologies, 11(1), 1-24. DOI: 10.3390/technologies11010024
Asiksoy, G. & Islek, D. (2024). Classifying engineering students’ performance in online education with machine learning: Affective, cognitive, and behavioral aspects. Broad Research in Artificial Intelligence and Neuroscience, 15(2), 23-45. DOI: 10.18662/brain/15.2/562.
Atkins, H. A. & Carver, L. (2021). Leading in the digital environment: Being a change agent. Maryland: Rowman & Littlefield Publishers.
Audrin, C., & Audrin, B. (2022). Key factors in digital literacy in learning and education: A systematic literature review using text mining. Education and Information Technologies, 27(6), 7395–7419. DOI: 10.1007/s10639-021-10832-5
Augutis, G., Pfeiffer, L., Jacobs, B. & Cowling, M. (2022). Work-in-progress–factors that lead to successful technology programs in schools. Proceedings of the 8th International Conference of the Immersive Learning Research Network (iLRN), 8, 1-10. https:// DOI: 10.23919/iLRN55037.2022.9815964
Balta-Salvador, R., Olmedo-Torre, N., Pena, M., & Renta-Davids, A. I. (2021). Academic and emotional effects of online learning during the COVID-19 pandemic on engineering students. Education and Information Technologies, 26(6), 7407–7434. DOI:10.1007/s10639-021-10593-1.
Bashar, U. & Naaz, I. (2024). digital literacy: the importance, initiatives and challenges. International Research Journal of Modernization in Engineering Technology and Science, 6(5), 6218-6223. DOI: 10.56726/IRJMETS56658.
Belessova, D., Ibashova, A., Bosova, L. & Shaimerdenova, G. (2023). Digital learning ecosystem: Current state, prospects, and hurdles. Open Education Studies, 5(1), 1-8. DOI: 10.1515/edu-2022-0179
Bir, D. (2019). Comparison of academic performance of students in online vs traditional engineering courses. European Journal of Open, Distance and E-Learning. 22(1). 1-13. DOI:10.2478/eurodl-2019-0001
Buchholz, B. A., Dehart, J. & Moorman, G. (2020). Digital citizenship during a global pandemic: Moving beyond digital literacy. Journal of Adolescent and Adult Literacy, 64(1), 11-17. DOI: 10.1002/jaal.1076
Cabero-Almenara, J., Gutiérrez-Castillo, J.-J., Barroso-Osuna, J., & Palacios-Rodríguez, A. (2023). Digital teaching competence according to the DigCompEdu framework: Comparative study in different latin american universities. Journal of New Approaches in Educational Research, 12(2), 276. DOI:10.7821/naer.2023.7.1452
Camilleri, M. A., & Camilleri, A. C. (2022). The acceptance of learning management systems and video conferencing technologies: Lessons learned from COVID-19. Technology Knowledge and Learning, 27(4), 1311–1333. DOI:10.100710758-021-09561-y
Campbell, E. & Kapp, R. (2020). Developing an integrated, situated model for digital literacy in pre-service teacher education. Journal of Education, 79, 18-30. DOI: 10.17159/2520-9868/i79a02
Chatti, H. & Hadoussa, S. (2021). Factors affecting the adoption of e-learning technology by students during the COVID-19 quarantine period: The application of the UTAUT model. Engineering, Technology & Applied Science Research, 11(2), 6993-700. DOI: 11. 6993-7000. 10.48084/etasr.3985.
Chen, Y. (2023). The experiences and challenges of online learning for Chinese students and the impact of online learning on student’s motivation. Journal of Education Humanities and Social Sciences, 23, 263-268. DOI:10.54097/ehss.v23i.12893
Chu, X., Qian, J. & Zeng, Y. (2022). Students’ experiences and perceptions on different online learning platforms: The cases of Rain Classroom and Blackboard Learn. Advances in Social Science, Education and Humanities Research, 664, 1975-1985. Retrieved from file:///C:/Users/ACER/Downloads/125974718.pdf
Darius, P. S. H., Gundabattini, E., & Solomon, D. G. (2021). A survey on the effectiveness of online teaching–learning methods for university and college students. Journal of The Institution of Engineers, 102(6), 1325–1334. DOI:10.1007/s40031-021-00581-x.
Darkwa, B. F., & Antwi, S. (2021). From classroom to online: Comparing the effectiveness and student academic performance of classroom learning and online learning. Open Access Library Journal, 8(7), 1-22. DOI:10.4236/oalib.1107597
Deacon, B., Laufer, M., & Schäfer, L. O. (2023). Infusing educational technologies in the heart of the university—A systematic literature review from an organizational perspective. British Journal of Educational Technology, 54(2), 441-466. DOI:10.1111/bjet.13277
Dhakal, B. P. (2022). Digital pedagogy: An effective model for 21st century education. Academic Journal of Mathematics Education, 5(1), 1-9. DOI: DOI: 10.3126/ajme.v5i1.54534
Dheeraj, D. (2022). Digital ecosystem - The new era of education. Chennai: Notion Press.
Fawu, L. (2019). Sticking to the original intention: the bottleneck and innovation of Chinese education in the new era. Proceeding of Asia-Pacific Conference on Advance in Education, Learning and Teaching. 1, 1303-1307. Retrieved from https://webofproceedings.org/proceedings_series/ESSP/ACAELT%202019/ACAELT21269.pdf
Fatima, A. H. & Munna, A. S. (2024). Revitalizing the learning ecosystem for modern students. Pennsylvania: IGI Global.
Fedeli, L. & Tomezyk, L. (2022). Digital literacy for teachers. Singapore: Springer Nature Singapore.
Fessl, A, Maitz, K., Paleczek, L., Köhler, T., Irnleitner, S. & Divitini, M. (2022). Designing a curriculum for digital competencies towards teaching and learning. European Conference on e-Learning, 21(1). 469-471. DOI: https://doi.org/10.34190/ecel.21.1.723
Freitas Rocha, T., Soares, J., Paiva, J. M., Cruz, M. & Da Silva, L. F. M. (2022). Impact of COVID-19 on the Integrated Master of Mechanical Engineering of the University of Porto. Journal on Teaching Engineering, 2(1), 14–37. DOI:10.24840/2795-4005_002.001_0003
Garcia-Alberti, M., Suarez, F., Chiyon, I., & Feijoo, J. C. M. (2021). Challenges and experiences of online evaluation in courses of civil engineering during the lockdown learning due to the covid-19 pandemic. Education Sciences, 11(2), 1-19. DOI:10.3390/educsci11020059
Gherhes, V., Stoian, C. E., Farcasiu, M. A., & Stanici, M. (2021). E-learning vs. face-to-face learning: Analyzing students’ preferences and behaviors. Sustainability, 13(8), 4381. DOI:10.3390/su13084381
Gill, A. Q. (2022). The digital ecosystem information framework: Insights from action design research. Journal of Information Science, 50(1), 85-88. DOI: 10.1177/01655515221086593
Gligorea, I., Cioca, M., Oancea, R., Gorski, A-T., Gorski, H. & Tudorache, P. (2023). Adaptive learning using artificial intelligence in e-learning: A literature review. Education Sciences, 13(12), 1216. DOI: 10.3390/educsci13121216
Gotardo, M. (2019). Using decision tree algorithm to predict student performance. Indian Journal of Science and Technology. 12. 1-8. DOI: 10.17485/ijst/2019/v12i5/140987.
Grodotzki, J., Upadhya, S., & Tekkaya, A. E. (2021). Engineering education amid a global pandemic. Advances in Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering, 3, 10058 ,1-17. DOI: 10.1016/j.aime.2021.100058
Guo, L., Huang, J. & Zhang, Y. (2019). Education development in China: Education return, quality, and equity. Sustainability, 11(13), 37-50. Retrieved from: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/11/13/3750/pdf
Haleem, A., Javaid, M., Qadri, M. A. & Suman, R. (2022). Understanding the role of digital technologies in education: A review. Sustainable Operations and Computers, 3, 275-285. DOI: 10.1016/j.susoc.2022.05.004
Holger Gunzel, H., Brehm, L. & Humpe, A. (2020). Learning lab "digital technologies" keeps distance. Proceedings of the 9th Computer Science Education Research Conference, 1-9. DOI: 10.1145/3442481.3442506
Indira, K. (2022). Blended learning approach to engineering education: Students’ perceptions on learning experience and effectiveness. Journal of Engineering Education Transformations, 35(3), 160-170. DOI: 10.16920/jeet/2022/v35i3/22099
Jurayev, T. (2020). Use of digital learning technologies in education on the example of smart education. Journal La Edusci, 1(3), 33-37. DOI:10.37899/journallaedusci.v1i3.193
Kanetaki, Z., Stergiou, C., Bekas, G., Troussas, C., & Sgouropoulou, C. (2021). Analysis of engineering student data in online higher education during the COVID-19 pandemic. International Journal of Engineering Pedagogy, 11(6), 27–49. DOI:10.3991/ijep.v11i6.23259.
Karabin, O., Bielova, V., Hladun, T., Makarenko, L. & Bozhkov, A. (2024). The role of digital technologies in increasing the students’ involvement in the educational process. WSEAS Transactions on Information Science and Applications, 21(8), 77-89. http://DOI: 10.37394/23209.2024.21.8
Khan, N., Sarwar, A., Chen, T. B., & Khan, S. (2022). Connecting digital literacy in higher education to the 21st century workforce. Knowledge Management & E-Learning, 14(1), 46–61. DOI: 10.34105/j.kmel.2022.14.004
Khel, M. H. K., Kadir, K., Albattah, W., Khan, S., Noor, M. N. M. M., Nasir, H. & Khan, A. (2021). Real-time monitoring of COVID-19 SOP in public gathering using deep learning technique. Emerging Science Journal, 5, 182-196. DOI:10.28991/esj-2021-SPER-14
Knox, J. (2020). Artificial intelligence and education in China. Learning, Media and Technology, 1, 1-21. DOI: 10.1080/17439884.2020.1754236
Kurdi, H. A., Alshurideh, M., & Alafeef, M. (2020). Acceptance of e-learning technologies: A theoretical model. International Journal of Electrical and Computer Engineering, 10(6):6484-6496. DOI:10.11591/ijece. v10i6
Li, J., & Li, J. (2019). Educational policy development in China in the 21st century: A multi-flows approach. Beijing International Review of Education, 1(1), 196-220. Retrieved from https://brill.com/view/journals/bire/1/1/article-p196_196.xml.
Li, P., Qin, Z., Wang, X. & Metzler, D. (2019). Combining decision trees and neural networks for learning-to-rank in personal search. 25th ACM SIGKDD International Conference Paper, 4(8), 2032-2040. 10.1145/3292500.3330676.
Liu, Z., Lomovtseva, N., Korobeynikova, E. (2020). Online learning platforms: Reconstructing modern higher education. International Journal of Emerging Technologies in Learning, 15(13), 4-21. DOI:10.3991/ijet.v15i13.14645
Luo, S. (2023). The current landscape and future direction of curriculum reform in China. Future in Educational Research, 1(1), 5-17. DOI: 10.1002/fer3.8
Nachouki, M., Mohamed, E. A., Mehdi, R. & Naaj, M. A. (2023). Student course grade prediction using the random forest algorithm: Analysis of predictors’ importance. Trends in Neuroscience and Education, 33, 1-7. DOI: 10.1016/j.tine.2023.100214
Nazempour, R., Darabi, H., & Nelson, P. C. (2022). Impacts on students’ academic performance due to emergency transition to remote teaching during the COVID-19 pandemic: A financial engineering course case study. Education Sciences, 12(3), 1–14. DOI:10.3390/educsci12030202.
O’Connor, S., Power, J., Blom, N. & Tanner, D. (2024. Engineering students’ perceptions of problems and project-based learning (PBL) in an online learning environment. Australasian Journal of Engineering Education, 5, 1-14. DOI: 10.1080/22054952.2024.2357404
Olusegun, A. A., Uranta, E., Ukhurebor, K., Jokthan, G., & Nalwadda, D. (2023). Appraisal of E-learning and students’ academic performance: A perspective from secondary schools. Cypriot Journal of Educational Sciences, 18(1), 351-367 DOI:10.18844/cjes.v18i1.7996
Oyewola, O., Ajide, O., Osunbunmi, I. & Oyewola, Y. (2022). Examination of students’ academic performance in selected mechanical engineering courses prior-to-and-during COVID-19 era. Emerging Science Journal, 6(Special Issue), 247-260. Retrieved from https://www.ijournalse.org/index.php/ESJ/article/view/1163/pdf
Quraishi, T., Ulusi, H., Moihd, A., Hakimi, M. & Olusi, M. (2023). Empowering students through digital literacy: A case study of successful integration in a higher education curriculum. Journal of Digital Learning and Distance Education, 2(8), 668-681. https://doi.org/10.56778/jdlde.v2i8.208.
Selvakumar, S. & Sivakumar, P. (2019). The impact of blended learning environment on academic achievement of engineering students. International Journal of Innovative Technology and Exploring Engineering, 8(12), 3782–3787. DOI:10.35940/ijitee.L3825.1081219.
Seo, K., Tang, J., Roll, I., Fels, S. & Yoon, D. (2021). The impact of artificial intelligence on learner–instructor interaction in online learning. International Journal Educational Technology Higher Education, 18(54), 1-23. DOI:10.1186/s41239-021-00292-9
Supernak, J., Ramirez, A., & Supernak, E. (2021). COVID-19: How do engineering students assess its impact on their learning? Advances in Applied Sociology, 11(01), 14–25. DOI:10.4236/aasoci.2021.111002
Setiyawan, A., Achmadi, T. A., & Anggoro, A. B. (2019). The effect of blended learning on the students’ learning achievements in Department of Mechanical Engineering. Advances in Social Science, Education and Humanities Research, 379, 162 –166. DOI:10.2991/assehr.k.191217.027.
Thurab-Nkhosi, D., Maharaj, C., & Ramadhar, V. (2021). The impact of emergency remote teaching on a blended engineering course: perspectives and implications for the future. SN Social Sciences, 1(7), 1-19. DOI:10.1007/s43545-021-00172-z
Viberg, O., Mutimukwe, C., Hrastinski, S., Cerratto Pargman, T. & Liliesköld, J. (2024). Exploring teachers’ (future) digital assessment practices in higher education: Instrument and model development. British Journal of Educational Technology, 1(1), 1-20. https://doi.org/10.1111/bjet.13462.
Wang, Y., Ma, J., Kremer, G. E., & Jackson, K. L. (2019). An investigation of effectiveness differences between in-class and online learning: an engineering drawing case study. International Journal on Interactive Design and Manufacturing, 13(1), 89–98. DOI:10.1007/s12008-018-0510-8
Watson, E., Marin, L. F., White, L. N., Macciotta, R. & Lefsrud, L. M. (2020). Blended learning in an upper year engineering course: The relationship between students’ program year, interactions with online material, and academic performance. The Canadian Journal for the Scholarship of Teaching and Learning, 11(3), 1-18. DOI:10.5206/cjsotl-rcacea.2020.3.8270
Yadav, N. (2024). The impact of digital learning on education. International Journal of Multidisciplinary Research in Arts, Science and Technology, 2(1), 24-34. https://doi.org/10.61778/ijmrast.v2i1.34
Yu, T., Dai, J. & Wang, C. (2023). Adoption of blended learning: Chinese university students' perspectives. Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, 10(1), 1-17. Doi: 10.1057/s41599-023-01904-7
Zawacki-Richter, O., Marín, V. I., Bond, M., & Gouverneur, F. (2019). Systematic review of research on artificial intelligence applications in higher education–where are the educators? International Journal of Educational Technology in Higher Education, 16(1), 39. DOI:10.1186/s41239-019-0171-0
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2024 Zhang Jin, Zaheril Zainudin
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.